The shortage in Dutch housing market has increased in 2023 from 3.9% to 4.8% based on Primos prognosis 2023 from ABF Research. The study shows that on 1 January 2031, there are 110.000 more households than expected compared to the previous expectation. Immigration has been the main cause of this higher than expected increase with another causes being that the elderly staying longer at home and smaller number of people living in one house. To tackle this crisis, the government needs to build 981.000 new houses by 2030. This number is 45.000 more than to the agreed regional Woondeals and 81.000 more than the Woningbouw program.
ABF Research expects that from 2022 to 2030, 834.000 houses will be built. In 2023, it is expected that a total of 90.000 houses will have been built in the Netherlands equal to the number of houses built last year.
More houses and permits quickly
To reach this goal, not only new houses will be built, but also through converting former office buildings into apartments, splitting bigger house into two and flex houses. However, it still presents a big challenge as this means that in the coming 7 years, 115.000 new houses will need to be built each year, which is 25.000 more than this year. In 2024, the government will focus on quickly building the houses which have received building permit and accelerate the permit requests for houses which can be built in short-term.
There are a number of incentives which the government has given, such as Startbouwimpuls and Woningbouwimpuls. Also initiative such as flex houses, transformation of offices to apartments and building living space on existing house.